Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 8, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez

Atletico San Luis
2 - 3
Juarez

David Castro (7', 7'), Moreno (25', 25')
Guemez (60'), Guemez (60')
FT(HT: 4-4)
Castro (15', 15', 45+5', 45+5'), Hurtado (81')
Castro (20'), Castro (20'), Orquin (28'), Orquin (28'), Vukcevic (73'), Vukcevic (73'), Edson (80')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atletico San Luis and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico San Luis

All competitions
Last Game: America 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, March 30 at 2am in Liga MX

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Juarez 2-1 Santos Laguna
Monday, April 1 at 2.36am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Atletico San LuisDrawJuarez
46.35% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)24.19% (0.166 0.17)29.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
Both teams to score 58.1% (-0.674 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87% (-0.846 -0.85)44.13% (0.843 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49% (-0.827 -0.83)66.51% (0.82499999999999 0.82)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (-0.342 -0.34)19.18% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.14% (-0.567 -0.57)50.86% (0.563 0.56)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (-0.529 -0.53)28.1% (0.527 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (-0.677 -0.68)63.77% (0.675 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Atletico San Luis 46.35%
    Juarez 29.46%
    Draw 24.18%
Atletico San LuisDrawJuarez
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.229 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 46.35%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.195 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.46%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 4.06am
Gameweek 11
Juarez
3-2
Atletico San Luis
Chavez (12'), Garcia (35'), Hurtado (51')
Santos (36'), Saucedo (39'), Pelua (70')
Vitinho (62'), Manuel Sanabria (70')
Guemez (14'), Murillo (54'), Dourado (82'), Garcia (86')
Guemez (73')
Apr 14, 2023 4.05am
Gameweek 15
Atletico San Luis
2-0
Juarez
Bilbao (45+1'), Vitinho (63')
Aug 4, 2022 2am
Gameweek 16
Juarez
1-1
Atletico San Luis
Jan 21, 2022 3am
Gameweek 3
Atletico San Luis
0-1
Juarez

Manuel Sanabria (2'), Waller (45'), Bilbao (80')
Guemez (45+5')
Leite (82' pen.)
Ramirez (47'), Esquivel (69'), Olivera (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 3am
Gameweek 14
Juarez
1-0
Atletico San Luis
Barovero (90')