Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 7, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
Club Leon

Pumas
4 - 1
Club Leon

Ruvalcaba (11', 88'), Cervantes (26' og.), Martinez (80')
Lopez (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Alvarado (31')
Guerra (61'), Frias (74'), Bellon (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between Pumas and Club Leon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Pumas
Monday, May 13 at 2am in Liga MX

Club Leon

All competitions
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Club Leon
Sunday, April 28 at 12.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
PumasDrawClub Leon
44.15% (0.624 0.62)24.8% (-0.16 -0.16)31.05% (-0.461 -0.46)
Both teams to score 56.89% (0.323 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (0.52200000000001 0.52)46.13% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (0.489 0.49)68.42% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.502 0.5)20.95% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.779 0.78)53.7% (-0.776 -0.78)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.04% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (-0.058 -0.06)63.69% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 44.15%
    Club Leon 31.05%
    Draw 24.8%
PumasDrawClub Leon
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.15%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.05%

How you voted: Pumas vs Club Leon

Pumas
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Club Leon
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2024 1am
Gameweek 15
Pumas
1-0
Club Leon
Quispe (68')
Ergas (90+4')

Guerra (72')
Medina (64')
Nov 1, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 15
Club Leon
1-1
Pumas
Rodriguez (59')
Romero (2'), Frias (68')
Fernandez (44')
Ergas (28'), Tabo (90+4')
Jan 22, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Pumas
4-1
Club Leon
Del Prete (9'), Diogo (45+4'), Dinenno (59', 87')
Di Yorio (27')
Jul 10, 2022 1am
Gameweek 2
Club Leon
3-3
Pumas
Feb 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Pumas
2-1
Club Leon
Rogerio (24'), Ortiz (45+2')
Meritao (62'), Corozo (90+1')
Mozo (82')
Colombatto (20')
Martinez (51')