Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.