Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.