Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 10, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
1 - 2
Queretaro

Rondon (79' pen., 79' pen.)
Almada (38'), Almada (38')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lertora (7', 7'), Batista (63', 63')
Sosa (37'), Sosa (37'), Escamilla (49'), Escamilla (49'), Lertora (55'), Lertora (55'), Sanvezzo (73'), Venegas (73'), Batista (84'), Batista (84'), Tapia (90+4'), Tapia (90+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Queretaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Pachuca
Wednesday, March 6 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 Santos Laguna
Saturday, March 2 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
PachucaDrawQueretaro
61.52% (0.13200000000001 0.13)21.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)17.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (-0.191 -0.19)43.89% (0.188 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (-0.189 -0.19)66.27% (0.184 0.18)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)13.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.97% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)41.03% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (-0.265 -0.27)38.8% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (-0.252 -0.25)75.54% (0.249 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 61.51%
    Queretaro 17.31%
    Draw 21.17%
PachucaDrawQueretaro
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.58% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 61.51%
1-1 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.17%
0-1 @ 5.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 17.31%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 2.06am
Gameweek 4
Queretaro
1-1
Pachuca
Sepulveda (40')
Gomez (59'), Manzanarez (61'), Montecinos (84')
De la Rosa (51')
Almada (60'), Cabral (82'), Barreto (90+3')
May 1, 2023 12am
Gameweek 17
Queretaro
0-1
Pachuca
Arango (26' pen.)
Jul 5, 2022 3am
Gameweek 1
Pachuca
2-0
Queretaro
Ibanez (25')

Martinez (40'), Lopez (89')
Feb 15, 2022 3am
Gameweek 5
Pachuca
2-2
Queretaro
Vera (29'), Martinez (39'), Hernandez (66')
Aug 23, 2021 3am
Gameweek 6
Queretaro
0-2
Pachuca
Cabral (20'), Chavez (76')