Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 10, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pumas
0 - 2
Cruz Azul


Funes Mori (65'), Funes Mori (65'), Suarez (81'), Suarez (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rivero (27', 27'), Faravelli (57', 57')
Rivero (32'), Rivero (32'), Rodriguez (80'), Rodriguez (80')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 0-0 Pumas (3-5 pen.)
Friday, May 3 at 4.15am in Liga MX

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 28 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
PumasDrawCruz Azul
37.27% (0.462 0.46)26.66% (0.11 0.11)36.06% (-0.572 -0.57)
Both teams to score 52% (-0.379 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (-0.473 -0.47)53% (0.473 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (-0.403 -0.4)74.6% (0.404 0.4)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (0.045999999999992 0.05)27.53% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (0.055999999999997 0.06)63.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.566 -0.57)28.25% (0.567 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.724 -0.72)63.96% (0.723 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 37.27%
    Cruz Azul 36.06%
    Draw 26.66%
PumasDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.197 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 6.21% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.06%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 4.05am
Gameweek 13
Pumas
0-0
Cruz Azul
Rivas (70'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (84')
Candido (70'), Faravelli (90')
Oct 8, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 12
Cruz Azul
1-4
Pumas
Sepulveda (45+2')
Rivero (29'), Escobar (42')
Huerta (30' pen., 60'), Rivas (72'), Silva (80')
Lopez (36'), Salvio (43'), Alfonso Monroy Reyes (46'), Aldrete (58'), Jose Gonzalez (58')
Mar 12, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 11
Cruz Azul
1-0
Pumas
Escoboza (84')
Sep 18, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 15
Pumas
1-2
Cruz Azul
Diogo (65')
Huescas (26'), Carneiro (45')
Mar 13, 2022 1am
Gameweek 10
Cruz Azul
2-1
Pumas
Rivero (29'), Escobar (70')
Alvarez (30')
Lillini (72')