Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.