Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monterrey in this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Monterrey
26.58% ( -0.46)	25.37% ( 0.5)	48.04% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.1% (

-1.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.96% (

-2.36)

51.04% (

2.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.1% (

-2.11)

72.9% (

2.12)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.16% (

-1.62)

33.83% (

1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.5% (

-1.79)

70.5% (

1.79)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74% (

-0.98)

21.26% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82% (

-1.53)

54.17% (

1.54)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 26.58%

Monterrey 48.04%

Draw 25.37%

Necaxa	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.58%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.04%