Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Monterrey
38.59% ( -1.67)	25.94% ( 0.54)	35.47% ( 1.13)

Both teams to score 54.36% (

-1.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.03% (

-2.23)

49.97% (

2.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.04% (

-2.02)

71.95% (

2.02)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.62% (

-1.88)

25.38% (

1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.82% (

-2.65)

60.18% (

2.65)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.85% (

-0.39)

27.15% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.45% (

-0.51)

62.54% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 38.59%

Monterrey 35.47%

Draw 25.93%

Pachuca	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.59%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.47%