CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 2, 2024 at 3.15am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Columbus Crew

Monterrey
1 - 3
Columbus Crew

Cheberko (11' og., 11' og.)
Vegas (34'), Vegas (34')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Morris (45+4', 45+4'), Rossi (49', 49'), Russell-Rowe (89', 89')
Nagbe (7'), Nagbe (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Champions Cup clash between Monterrey and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
MonterreyDrawColumbus Crew
54.82% (-0.132 -0.13)22.11% (0.07 0.07)23.07% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.17% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.04% (-0.251 -0.25)39.96% (0.252 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.67% (-0.261 -0.26)62.32% (0.262 0.26)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.128 -0.13)14.54% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (-0.248 -0.25)42.58% (0.249 0.25)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)30.76% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.101 -0.1)67.02% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 54.82%
    Columbus Crew 23.07%
    Draw 22.1%
MonterreyDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.32% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 54.82%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.27% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 23.07%

How you voted: Monterrey vs Columbus Crew

Monterrey
62.2%
Draw
5.4%
Columbus Crew
32.4%
37
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 1.15am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Columbus Crew
2-1
Monterrey
Meza (58')
Meza (66'), Moreno (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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