Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.