Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 64.5% ( | 19.9% ( | 15.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.65% ( | 41.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.25% ( | 63.75% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.9% ( | 12.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.34% ( | 37.65% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.6% ( | 39.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.9% ( | 76.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 3-0 @ 7.48% ( 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 4-0 @ 3.95% ( 4-1 @ 3.68% ( 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 5-1 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 3.62% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.9% | 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 1-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.6% |