Major League Soccer

Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK

MAPFRE Stadium

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Russell-Rowe (68', 68'), Farsi (90+10', 90+10')
Amundsen (90+1'), Amundsen (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Herbers (72', 72')
Arigoni (13'), Arigoni (13'), Barlow (90+5'), Barlow (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 0-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, March 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	Chicago Fire
62.28% ( -0.08)	20.52% ( 0.1)	17.2% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.73% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.82% (

-0.51)

41.18% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.42% (

-0.52)

63.58% (

0.52)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.32% (

-0.18)

12.68% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.14% (

-0.37)

38.86% (

0.37)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.68% (

-0.33)

37.32% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.89% (

-0.32)

74.11% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 62.28%

Chicago Fire 17.2%

Draw 20.52%

Columbus Crew	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.28%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.52%	1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.2%