Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match.