Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for DC United in this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 51.46% ( | 23.66% ( | 24.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.84% ( | 45.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.49% ( | 67.51% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.42% ( | 17.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.86% ( | 48.14% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( | 32.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% | 68.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.72% Total : 51.46% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.88% |