Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.