Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Cruz Azul
45.68% ( 0.48)	25.56% ( -0.09)	28.76% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 53.12% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.55% (

0.15)

50.45% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.62% (

0.13)

72.38% (

-0.13)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

0.28)

22.07% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.59% (

0.42)

55.41% (

-0.43)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.16% (

-0.21)

31.83% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73% (

-0.24)

68.27% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Monterrey 45.67%

Cruz Azul 28.76%

Draw 25.56%

Monterrey	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.67%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.76%