Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.