Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Mazatlan
59.33% ( 1.3)	21.56% ( -0.09)	19.11% ( -1.21)

Both teams to score 54.92% (

-1.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.27% (

-1.37)

42.72% (

1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.87% (

-1.38)

65.12% (

1.38)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.95% (

-0.05)

14.04% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.39% (

-0.09)

41.6% (

0.09)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.89% (

-2.04)

36.1% (

2.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.12% (

-2.14)

72.88% (

2.14)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 59.33%

Mazatlan 19.11%

Draw 21.55%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Mazatlan
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.99% Total : 59.33%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.55%	1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.67% Total : 19.11%