Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 20, 2024 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 2
Atlas

Cavallini (47', 47')
Cavallini (37'), Cavallini (37'), Castillo (73'), Castillo (73')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Aguirre (9', 9', 23', 23')
Marquez (30'), Marquez (30'), Aguirre (82'), Aguirre (82'), Vargas (89'), Vargas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Puebla and Atlas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Club Leon
Wednesday, July 17 at 4am in Liga MX

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 1-0 Santos Laguna
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
PueblaDrawAtlas
36.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.33% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)36.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41% (0.022999999999996 0.02)51.59% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62% (0.02 0.02)73.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.019999999999996 0.02)27.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.43% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (0.007000000000005 0.01)62.57% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 36.92%
    Atlas 36.75%
    Draw 26.33%
PueblaDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.92%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.75%

How you voted: Puebla vs Atlas

Puebla
30.0%
Draw
55.0%
Atlas
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 1am
Gameweek 11
Puebla
2-2
Atlas
Gonzalez (9'), Sansores (73')
Olmedo (68')
Rocha (16'), Reyes (44')
Garcia (60'), Lozano (65')
Sep 29, 2023 3am
Gameweek 10
Atlas
2-3
Puebla
Zapata (45+4'), Caicedo (60')
Caicedo (78')
De Buen (2'), Baltazar (10'), Martinez (75' pen.)
Angulo (45+3'), Ferrareis (51'), Martinez (76'), de los Santos (85'), Ivan Rodriguez (90+3')
Mar 18, 2023 1am
Gameweek 12
Puebla
0-4
Atlas
Aug 21, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 10
Atlas
1-1
Puebla
Quinones (45+1')
Herrera (16'), Marquez (41'), Santamaria (71')
Barragan (11')
de Buen (20'), Barragan (25'), Silva (37'), Reyes (90+3')
Feb 12, 2022 3am
Gameweek 5
Puebla
1-1
Atlas
Segovia (58'), Aristeguieta (70')
Quinones (45+4'), Trejo (90+2')