Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 28, 2024 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
0 - 1
Guadalajara


Lozano (27'), Lozano (27'), Marquez (33'), Marquez (33'), Fulgencio (80'), Fulgencio (80'), Zapata (85'), Zapata (85'), Zapata (86'), Caicedo (86'), Caicedo (90+1'), Caicedo (90+1'), Caicedo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alvarado (74', 74')
Castillo (2'), Castillo (2'), Cowell (83'), Cowell (83'), Orozco (86'), Orozco (90+1')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Atlas
Monday, April 22 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
AtlasDrawCD Guadalajara
39.9% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)25.9% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)34.2% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.31% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (0.275 0.27)49.95% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (0.245 0.24)71.94% (-0.236 -0.24)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (0.111 0.11)24.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (0.151 0.15)59.2% (-0.143 -0.14)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.193 0.19)27.9% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.243 0.24)63.52% (-0.235 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 39.9%
    CD Guadalajara 34.2%
    Draw 25.89%
AtlasDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 39.9%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.79% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.2%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2am
Gameweek 12
Guadalajara
4-1
Atlas
Beltran (9'), Marin (63', 84'), Alvarado (90+3' pen.)
Rocha (44')
Santamaria (36'), Hernandez (45+3'), Abella (82'), Vargas (90+2')
May 15, 2023 2.05am
May 12, 2023 2am
Apr 2, 2023 4.10am
Aug 14, 2022 3.05am