Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.