Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 17, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
1 - 0
Santos Laguna

Marquez (65', 65')
Lozano (72'), Lozano (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Medina (88'), Medina (88'), Echeverria (90'), Echeverria (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Liga MX clash between Atlas and Santos Laguna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 1-1 Tigres
Saturday, July 13 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Santos Laguna

All competitions
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-1 Pumas
Sunday, July 14 at 2.25am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlas in this match.

Result
AtlasDrawSantos Laguna
44.25% (1.026 1.03)25.24% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)30.5% (-0.966 -0.97)
Both teams to score 55.14% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.71% (-0.122 -0.12)48.28% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.57% (-0.11 -0.11)70.43% (0.105 0.11)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (0.42400000000001 0.42)21.81% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (0.644 0.64)55.02% (-0.648 -0.65)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51% (-0.712 -0.71)29.48% (0.707 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51% (-0.877 -0.88)65.49% (0.872 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 44.25%
    Santos Laguna 30.5%
    Draw 25.23%
AtlasDrawSantos Laguna
1-0 @ 9.79% (0.172 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.161 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.079 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.5%

How you voted: Atlas vs Santos Laguna

Atlas
50.0%
Draw
40.0%
Santos Laguna
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2024 12am
Gameweek 5
Atlas
3-0
Santos Laguna
Aguirre (26'), Rocha (45+1' pen.), Garcia (48')
Rocha (37'), Lozano (45+3'), Marquez (85')

Prieto (50')
Jul 14, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 3
Santos Laguna
0-0
Atlas
Preciado (47'), Lajud (55'), Aquino (85')
Santamaria (47'), Zapata (90+4')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 4
Atlas
2-2
Santos Laguna
Herrera (68'), Quinones (78')
Correa (27'), Brunetta (71')
Aug 1, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 6
Santos Laguna
1-0
Atlas
Torres (90+2'), Cervantes (90+4')
Ortega (45+1'), Aguilera (81')
Feb 7, 2022 12am
Gameweek 4
Atlas
2-1
Santos Laguna