Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
2 - 1
Queretaro

Berterame (29', 29'), Rojas Echavarria (66', 66')
Guzman (34'), Guzman (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lopez (88', 88')
Lertora (33'), Lertora (33'), Manzanarez (37'), Manzanarez (37'), Rio (78'), Rio (78')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Queretaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 0-1 Monterrey
Thursday, July 18 at 2am in Liga MX

Queretaro

All competitions
Last Game: Queretaro 0-2 Guadalajara
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawQueretaro
58.64% (-0.534 -0.53)22.61% (0.119 0.12)18.76% (0.417 0.42)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (0.11 0.11)47.8% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (0.104 0.1)69.98% (-0.101 -0.1)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (-0.142 -0.14)15.97% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.73% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)45.27% (0.262 0.26)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.56% (0.537 0.54)39.45% (-0.534 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.86% (0.495 0.5)76.14% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 58.63%
    Queretaro 18.76%
    Draw 22.61%
MonterreyDrawQueretaro
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 58.63%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 5% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 18.76%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2024 1am
Gameweek 4
Monterrey
1-1
Queretaro
Vazquez (41')
Moreno (45')
Ayon (83')
Manzanarez (45+2'), Venegas (89')
Nov 11, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 17
Queretaro
0-0
Monterrey
Barbieri (7'), Lertora (17')
Rojas (52'), Corona (82')
Feb 16, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 7
Monterrey
2-0
Queretaro
Funes Mori (25'), Gonzalez (35')
Jul 22, 2022 3am
Gameweek 4
Queretaro
0-3
Monterrey

Ayon (80')
Funes Mori (44')
Pizarro (59')
Jan 9, 2022 1.06am
Gameweek 1
Monterrey
0-0
Queretaro