Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 17, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
0 - 2
Guadalajara


Sosa (75'), Sosa (75'), Venegas (90+13'), Venegas (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Cowell (21', 21'), Mozo (90+7', 90+7')
Gonzalez (90+13'), Gonzalez (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Liga MX clash between Queretaro and CD Guadalajara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last Game: America 3-1 Queretaro
Saturday, July 13 at 2am in Liga MX

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Tijuana 4-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, July 13 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
QueretaroDrawCD Guadalajara
32.29% (0.34 0.34)27.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)40.17% (-0.356 -0.36)
Both teams to score 48.65% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.05% (0.020000000000003 0.02)56.95% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34% (0.24799999999999 0.25)32.66% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.8% (0.277 0.28)69.2% (-0.277 -0.28)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (-0.187 -0.19)27.76% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (-0.241 -0.24)63.33% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 32.29%
    CD Guadalajara 40.16%
    Draw 27.54%
QueretaroDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 11.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.16%

How you voted: Queretaro vs Guadalajara

Queretaro
13.3%
Draw
26.7%
CD Guadalajara
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 2.05am
Gameweek 16
Guadalajara
2-0
Queretaro
Sepulveda (54'), Alvarado (89')
Mozo (5'), Orozco (90+6')

Barbieri (22'), Mendoza (26'), Batista (43'), Sosa (58'), Ayon (77')
Nov 1, 2023 1am
Gameweek 15
Queretaro
1-2
Guadalajara
Barrera (55' pen.)
Garcia (39')
Gutierrez (10'), Alvarado (34' pen.)
Marin (80'), Sanchez (90+5')
Marin (83')
Feb 5, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 5
Guadalajara
1-1
Queretaro
Mayorga (90+2')
Barrera (78')
Jul 28, 2022 1am
Gameweek 5
Queretaro
2-2
Guadalajara
Nahuelpan (45+1'), Osuna (90' pen.)
Perez Bouquet (26'), Vega (81' pen.)
Jan 22, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Guadalajara
1-1
Queretaro
Vega (42')
Sepulveda (62'), Flores (63'), Huerta (85')
Sequeira (2')
Perg (8'), Torres (24'), Enrique Angulo (37'), Martinez (41'), Sequeira (54'), Hernandez (90+2'), Aguerre (90+4'), Romagnoli (90+9')