Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.