Liga MX
-
Pavel Perez
70'
-
Victor Alfonso Guzman Guzman
87'
-
Victor Alfonso Guzman Guzman
87'
-
Erick Gutierrez
90'+6'
-
Erick Gutierrez
90'+6'
-
Brian Garcia
83'
-
Brian Garcia
83'
CD Guadalajara vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.
Result
CD Guadalajara
48.6%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
24.18%
▼
(-0.02)
Toluca
27.22%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
56.48%
▲
(+0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.48%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
45.52%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
32.15%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
67.85%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 4.5
16.18%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
83.81%
▼
(-0.09)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5
81.18%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
18.82%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
49.75%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
50.25%
▼
(-0.03)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5
69.58%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
30.42%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
33.37%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
66.62%
▼
(-0.17)
Score analysis
CD Guadalajara
48.6%
Draw
24.17%
Toluca
27.22%
CD Guadalajara
1-0
@
9.56%
▼
(-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 48.6%
2-1 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 48.6%
Draw
1-1
@
11.37%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.17%
0-0 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.17%
Toluca
0-1
@
6.81%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.22%
1-2 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.22%
Head to Head
Liga MX
Gameweek
4
-
Fernando Beltran
1'
-
Fernando Beltran
1'
-
Jesus Orozco
14'
-
Jesus Orozco
14'
-
Pavel Perez
43'
-
Pavel Perez
43'
-
Pavel Perez
45'+5'
-
Pavel Perez
45'+5'
-
Erick Gutierrez
62'
-
Erick Gutierrez
62'
-
Jose Castillo
65'
-
Jose Castillo
65'
-
Ricardo Marin
81'
-
Ricardo Marin
81'
-
Marcel Ruiz
7'
-
Marcel Ruiz
7'
-
Brian Garcia
45'+3'
-
Brian Garcia
45'+3'
-
Tomas Belmonte
45'+4'
-
Federico Pereira
45'+9'
-
Federico Pereira
45'+9'
-
Jesus Angulo
71'
-
Jesus Angulo
71'
-
Marcel Ruiz
83'
-
Marcel Ruiz
83'
Liga MX
Gameweek
10
-
Pedro Raul
42'
-
Pedro Raul
42'
-
Edgar Lopez
62'
-
Edgar Lopez
62'
-
Andres Mosquera
80'
-
Andres Mosquera
80'
-
Fernando Navarro
90'+5'
-
Fernando Navarro
90'+5'
-
Gilberto Sepulveda
14'
-
Gilberto Sepulveda
14'
-
Veljko Paunovic
15'
-
Veljko Paunovic
15'
-
Alan Mozo
54'
-
Alan Mozo
54'
-
Ricardo Marin
69'
-
Ricardo Marin
69'
-
Jose Raul Rangel Aguilar
74'
-
Jose Raul Rangel Aguilar
74'
Liga MX
Gameweek
3
-
Valber Huerta
31'
-
Carlos Gonzalez
60'
-
Marcel Ruiz
84'
Liga MX
Gameweek
12
Liga MX
Gameweek
13
-
Valber Huerta
19'
-
Ian Gonzalez
35'
-
Kevin Castaneda
90'+5'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
90'+7'
-
Luis Olivas
17'
-
Carlos Cisneros
24'
-
Isaac Brizuela
29'
-
Jose Juan Macias
68'
-
Jose Juan Macias
90'+1'
Liga MX
Gameweek
13
-
Gilberto Sepulveda
49'
-
Cesar Huerta
45'+6'
-
Carlos Cisneros
55'
-
Cesar Huerta
57'
-
Carlos Uriel
77'
-
Ronaldo Cisneros
90'+5'
-
Claudio Baeza
41'
-
Rubens Sambueza
44'