Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.