Tijuana4 - 2Guadalajara
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Liga MX
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Tijuana | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 45.45% ( | 25.91% ( | 28.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.05% ( | 51.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% ( | 73.69% ( |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( | 22.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.48% ( | 56.52% ( |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% ( | 32.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.74% ( | 69.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Tijuana | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.45% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.64% |


