Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 13, 2024 at 4am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
4 - 2
Guadalajara

Blanco (27', 27'), Zuniga (66', 66', 90+3', 90+3'), Rivera (86' pen., 86' pen.)
Gonzalez (19'), Gonzalez (19'), Reynoso (32'), Reynoso (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cowell (69', 69'), Gonzalez (90+10', 90+10')
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (76'), Alfonso Guzman Guzman (76'), Gutierrez (85'), Gutierrez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and CD Guadalajara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queretaro 1-2 Tijuana
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Toluca
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawCD Guadalajara
45.45% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)25.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.64% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.94% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (0.026000000000003 0.03)51.95% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (0.023 0.02)73.69% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.29% (0.030999999999992 0.03)32.71% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74% (0.035 0.04)69.26% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 45.45%
    CD Guadalajara 28.64%
    Draw 25.91%
Club TijuanaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49%
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 45.45%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.64%

How you voted: Tijuana vs Guadalajara

Club Tijuana
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
CD Guadalajara
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3am
Gameweek 3
Tijuana
1-1
Guadalajara
Gonzalez (19')
Blanco (14'), Rodriguez (57'), Diaz (87'), Zuniga (87')
Alvarado (66')
Alvarado (5'), Orozco (82'), Gonzalez (87')
Gonzalez (90+5')
Aug 23, 2023 2am
Gameweek 5
Guadalajara
1-0
Tijuana
Alvarado (67')
Orozco (47'), Alvarado (63'), Rios (90+5')

Balanta (47'), Diaz (90+7')
Cavallini (45+4')
Feb 16, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 7
Guadalajara
2-1
Tijuana
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (39' pen., 90' pen.)
Lertora (26')
Sep 8, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 13
Tijuana
1-2
Guadalajara
Di Santo (58')
Alvarado (47'), Olivas (67')
Apr 20, 2022 3am
Gameweek 15
Guadalajara
2-1
Tijuana
Perez (54')
Orozco (45+4')

Barbona (60'), Rodriguez (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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