-
Paulinho
10'
-
Paulinho
10'
-
Moises Mosquera
17'
-
Moises Mosquera
17'
-
Paulinho
71'
-
Paulinho
71'
-
Claudio Baeza
15'
-
Ralph Orquin
15'
-
Ralph Orquin
17'
-
Dieter Villalpando
17'
-
Dieter Villalpando
37'
-
Angel Zaldivar
37'
-
Jesus Venegas
48'
-
Jesus Venegas
48'
-
Angel Zaldivar
54'
-
Angel Zaldivar
54'
-
Angel Zaldivar
61'
-
Angel Zaldivar
61'
Toluca vs Juarez - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
Result
Toluca
62.07%
▲
(+0.42)
Draw
20.26%
▼
(-0.22)
Juarez
17.67%
▼
(-0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
56.68%
▲
(+0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.9%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 2.5
39.1%
▼
(-0.69)
Over 3.5
38.57%
▲
(+0.72)
Under 3.5
61.43%
▼
(-0.72)
Over 4.5
21%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 4.5
78.99%
▼
(-0.56)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5
87.9%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 0.5
12.1%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 1.5
62.35%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 1.5
37.64%
▼
(-0.69)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5
64.47%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
35.52%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
27.71%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
72.29%
▼
(-0.20)
Score analysis
Toluca
62.07%
Draw
20.26%
Juarez
17.67%
Toluca
2-1
@
9.92%
▼
(-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 62.07%
2-0 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 62.07%
Draw
1-1
@
9.39%
▼
(-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.26%
2-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.26%
Juarez
1-2
@
4.86%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 17.67%
0-1 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 17.67%
Sebastian Saucedo
90'+8'