Liga MX | Gameweek 2

Jul 14, 2024 at 2.10am UK

Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
3 - 2
Juarez

Paulinho (10', 10', 71', 71'), Mosquera (17' og., 17' og.)

FT(HT: 4-0)

Venegas (48', 48'), Zaldivar (54', 54')
Baeza (15'), Orquin (15'), Orquin (17'), Villalpando (17'), Villalpando (37'), Zaldivar (37'), Zaldivar (61'), Zaldivar (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between Toluca and Juarez, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Toluca
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Juarez

All competitions

Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Atlas
Saturday, July 6 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Juarez
62.07% ( 0.41)	20.26% ( -0.22)	17.67% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 56.68% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.9% (

0.68)

39.1% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.57% (

0.71)

61.43% (

-0.71)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

0.32)

12.1% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.35% (

0.68)

37.64% (

-0.68)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.47% (

0.19)

35.52% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71% (

0.2)

72.29% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Toluca 62.07%

Juarez 17.67%

Draw 20.26%

Toluca	Draw	Juarez
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.91% Total : 62.07%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.26%	1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 17.67%