Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.89%) and 3-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Colorado Rapids
60.91% ( -0.59)	19.55% ( 0.23)	19.54% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 63.06% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.52% (

-0.51)

32.48% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.88% (

-0.6)

54.12% (

0.6)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.58% (

-0.3)

10.42% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.03% (

-0.68)

33.97% (

0.68)

Colorado Rapids Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

0.04)

29.61% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.35% (

0.05)

65.65% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Toluca 60.91%

Colorado Rapids 19.54%

Draw 19.55%

Toluca	Draw	Colorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 60.91%	1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.55%	1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 19.54%