Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.