Major League Soccer

Jul 14, 2024 at 3.25am UK

Providence Park

Portland
3 - 0
Salt Lake

Mora (3', 3'), Moreno (48', 48'), Evander (90', 90')
Chara (7'), Chara (7'), Rodriguez (8'), Rodriguez (8'), Gomez (23'), Mora (23'), Bravo (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Arango (23'), Mora (23'), Arango (23'), Gomez (23'), Ojeda (37'), Ojeda (37'), Crooks (56'), Crooks (56'), Luna (63'), Luna (63'), Bravo (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 4-1 Nashville
Monday, July 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 5-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 7 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Real Salt Lake
50.05% ( 0.02)	21.32% ( -0.01)	28.63% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 68% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.11% (

0.05)

30.88% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.75% (

0.06)

52.25% (

-0.06)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.11% (

0.02)

12.89% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.7% (

0.05)

39.29% (

-0.05)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06% (

0.02)

21.94% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.78% (

0.03)

55.22% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 50.05%

Real Salt Lake 28.63%

Draw 21.32%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.05% 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.05%	1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.32%	1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.36% Total : 28.63%