Major League Soccer
Portland
Jun 30, 2024 3.30am
3
2
HT : 2 4
FT Providence Park
Minnesota Utd
  • Evander 45'+8' goal
  • Evander 45'+8' goal
  • Santiago Moreno 73' goal
  • Santiago Moreno 73' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 90'+2' goal
  • Jonathan Rodriguez 90'+2' goal
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 29'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 29'
  • goal Jung Sang-bin 38'
  • goal Jung Sang-bin 38'

Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
Portland 2 - 0 Vancouver
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Jonathan Rodriguez

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
Minnesota Utd 0 - 1 Austin
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Bongokuhle Hlongwane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result

Portland Timbers 55.06% ▼ (-0.32)
Draw 21.6% ▲ (+0.13)
Minnesota United 23.34% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.33% ▼ (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.73% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 37.27% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 40.52% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 59.48% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 4.5 22.56% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 4.5 77.44% ▲ (+0.35)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5 86.44% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 13.55% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 1.5 59.36% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 40.64% ▲ (+0.46)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 70.95% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 29.04% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 35.04% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 64.95% ▲ (+0.09)

Score analysis

Portland Timbers 55.06%
Draw 21.6%
Minnesota United 23.34%
Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 55.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.6%
Minnesota United
1-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 23.34%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Minnesota Utd
May 19, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Field
Portland
  • Miguel Tapias 42' yellowcard
  • Miguel Tapias 42' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 65' goal
  • Robin Lod 65' goal
  • Jung Sang-bin 82' goal
  • Jung Sang-bin 82' goal
  • Miguel Tapias 90'+1' redcard
  • Miguel Tapias 90'+2' redcard
  • Jung Sang-bin 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Jung Sang-bin 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Wil Trapp 90'+13' yellowcard
  • Wil Trapp 90'+13' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Rodriguez 17'
  • goal Jonathan Rodriguez 17'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Rodriguez 42'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Rodriguez 42'
  • yellowcard Evander 44'
  • yellowcard Evander 44'
  • yellowcard Miguel Araujo 67'
  • yellowcard Diego Chara 67'
  • yellowcard Miguel Araujo 67'
  • yellowcard Diego Chara 67'
  • yellowcard Dairon Asprilla 82'
  • yellowcard Dairon Asprilla 82'
Major League Soccer
Minnesota Utd
Jul 2, 2023 1.30am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Allianz Field
Portland
  • Diego Chara 43' goal
  • Diego Chara 43' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 45'+4' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 45'+4' goal
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 74' goal
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 74' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 77' goal
  • Emanuel Reynoso 77' goal
  • goal Franck Boli 60'
  • goal Franck Boli 60'
Major League Soccer
Portland
May 21, 2023 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Providence Park
Minnesota Utd
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 90'+5'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Portland
Sep 11, 2022 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Minnesota Utd
  • Dairon Asprilla 61' goal
Major League Soccer
Minnesota Utd
Jul 30, 2022 8.00pm
4
4
HT : 3 1
FT
Portland
  • Franco Fragapane 9' goal
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 21' goal
  • Luis Amarilla 41' goal
  • Michael Boxall 53' yellowcard
  • Luis Amarilla 69' goal
  • Kervin Arriaga 72' yellowcard
  • Alan Benitez 75' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Reynoso 90' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Blanco 1'
  • yellowcard Diego Chara 18'
  • goal Sebastian Blanco 50'
  • goal Jaroslaw Niezgoda 53'
  • yellowcard Yimmi Chara 63'
  • goal Kemar Lawrence 65' (OG)
  • yellowcard David Ayala 73'
  • yellowcard Dairon Asprilla 83'
Major League Soccer
Portland
Nov 21, 2021 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Providence Park
Minnesota Utd
  • Sebastian Blanco 19' yellowcard
  • Larrys Mabiala 43' goal
  • Sebastian Blanco 47' goal
  • Sebastian Blanco 66' goal
  • Larrys Mabiala 86' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Fragapane 11'
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 32'
  • yellowcard Chase Gasper 40'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 73'
  • yellowcard Franco Fragapane 85'
  • yellowcard Joseph Rosales 86'
  • yellowcard Bakaye Dibassy 90'+7'

Form Data

Portland 2 - 0 Vancouver
Earthquakes 1 - 2 Portland
St Louis City 0 - 0 Portland
Portland 2 - 2 Houston
Austin 0 - 2 Portland
Portland 2 - 1 Kansas
Minnesota Utd 0 - 1 Austin
Dallas 5 - 3 Minnesota Utd
Seattle 2 - 0 Minnesota Utd
Minnesota Utd 1 - 1 Dallas
Minnesota Utd 3 - 1 Kansas
Los Angeles 2 - 0 Minnesota Utd