Major League Soccer

Jun 2, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
2 - 2
Houston

Mora (37', 37'), Fogaca (76', 76')
Zuparic (67'), Zuparic (67'), Evander (71'), Evander (71'), Chara (73'), Chara (73'), Williamson (82'), Williamson (82'), Dorsey (90+5'), Dorsey (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Kowalczyk (9', 9'), Carrasquilla (50', 50')
Escobar (27'), Escobar (27'), Bassi (52'), Bassi (52'), Herrera (53'), Herrera (53'), Micael (76'), Micael (76'), Raines (90+7'), Raines (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 0-2 Portland
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 3-1 Colorado
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Houston Dynamo
46.31% ( 0.2)	24.27% ( -0.01)	29.41% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 57.78% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46% (

-0.09)

44.54% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.09% (

-0.08)

66.9% (

0.08)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.63% (

0.04)

19.37% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.84% (

0.08)

51.16% (

-0.08)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

-0.18)

28.34% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92% (

-0.22)

64.07% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 46.31%

Houston Dynamo 29.41%

Draw 24.27%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.31%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.41%