Major League Soccer
Austin
May 16, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bold Stadium
Houston
  • Julio Cascante 31' yellowcard
  • Julio Cascante 31' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 87' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 87' goal
  • Jon Gallagher 90' yellowcard
  • Jon Gallagher 90' yellowcard
  • Calvin Fodrey 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Calvin Fodrey 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Griffin Dorsey 60'
  • yellowcard Griffin Dorsey 60'

Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 12, 2024 1.30am
Dallas 2 - 1 Austin
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Sebastian Driussi

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 12, 2024 1.30am
Kansas 1 - 2 Houston
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Aliyu Ibrahim

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.

Result

Austin FC 43.98% ▼ (-0.64)
Draw 24.83% ▼ (-0.45)
Houston Dynamo 31.19% ▲ (+1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.85% ▲ (+2.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.8% ▲ (+2.43)
Under 2.5 46.2% ▼ (-2.42)
Over 3.5 31.51% ▲ (+2.25)
Under 3.5 68.49% ▼ (-2.25)
Over 4.5 15.72% ▲ (+1.57)
Under 4.5 84.27% ▼ (-1.57)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 78.94% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 0.5 21.06% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 1.5 46.13% ▲ (+1.12)
Under 1.5 53.87% ▼ (-1.12)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 72.02% ▲ (+1.95)
Under 0.5 27.98% ▼ (-1.95)
Over 1.5 36.38% ▲ (+2.42)
Under 1.5 63.62% ▼ (-2.42)

Score analysis

Austin FC 43.98%
Draw 24.83%
Houston Dynamo 31.19%
Austin FC
1-0 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.76)
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.42)
3-1 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.22)
4-1 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% ▼ (-0.30)
0-0 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.63)
2-2 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.83%
Houston Dynamo
0-1 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.36)
1-2 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.22)
0-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.25)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.13)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-86.70)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.19%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Houston
Apr 21, 2024 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Reliant Stadium
Austin
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 28' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 28' yellowcard
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 37' yellowcard
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 37' yellowcard
  • Artur 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Artur 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 77' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 77' yellowcard
  • goal Emiliano Rigoni 86'
  • goal Emiliano Rigoni 86'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Driussi 87'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Driussi 87'
  • yellowcard Gyasi Zardes 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Gyasi Zardes 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Austin
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Al Saqr Stadium
Houston
  • Ethan Finlay 22' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 22' goal
  • Gyasi Zardes 32' goal
  • Gyasi Zardes 32' goal
  • Julio Cascante 50' goal
  • Julio Cascante 50' goal
Major League Soccer
Houston
May 28, 2023 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
Austin
  • Hector Herrera 37' goal
  • Hector Herrera 37' goal
  • Ivan Franco 87' goal
  • Ivan Franco 87' goal
  • goal Gyasi Zardes 21'
  • goal Gyasi Zardes 22'
Major League Soccer
Houston
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
Austin
  • Amine Bassi 71' goal
  • Hector Herrera 86' goal
Major League Soccer
Austin
Jul 13, 2022 2.00am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Houston
  • Diego Fagundez 15' goal
  • Maximiliano Urruti 57' goal
  • Nick Lima 66' yellowcard
  • Alexander Ring 70' goal
  • goal Adalberto Carrasquilla 11'
  • yellowcard Teenage Hadebe 14'
  • yellowcard Adam Lundqvist 62'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 80'
Major League Soccer
Houston
Apr 30, 2022 6.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Austin
  • Sebastian Ferreira 5' goal
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 47' yellowcard
  • Teenage Hadebe 50' yellowcard
  • Tim Parker 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Driussi 36'
  • goal Daniel Pereira 39'
  • yellowcard Alexander Ring 62'
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 66'
  • yellowcard Felipe 90'+6'

Form Data

Dallas 2 - 1 Austin
Vancouver 0 - 0 Austin
Austin 2 - 0 LA Galaxy
Houston 0 - 1 Austin
St Louis City 1 - 0 Austin
Austin 4 - 3 Earthquakes
Kansas 1 - 2 Houston
Houston 0 - 0 St Louis City
Dallas 2 - 0 Houston
Houston 0 - 1 Austin
Minnesota Utd 1 - 2 Houston
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Houston