Major League Soccer

Apr 14, 2024 at 9.45pm UK

CityPark

St Louis City
1 - 0
Austin

Klauss (57')
Ostrak (3'), Carnell (4'), Durkin (37')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cascante (10'), Gallagher (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 4-3 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Louis City in this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Austin FC
52.95% ( -0.03)	23.45% ( 0.01)	23.61% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.28% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.57% (

-0.03)

45.43% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.24% (

-0.03)

67.76% (

0.02)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.88% (

-0.02)

17.12% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.66% (

-0.04)

47.34% (

0.03)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.7% (

33.3% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.08% (

69.92% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 52.94%

Austin FC 23.61%

Draw 23.44%

St Louis City	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 52.94%	1-1 @ 11.06% 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.61%