Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Louis City in this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Austin FC |
52.95% ( -0.03) | 23.45% ( 0.01) | 23.61% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.28% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.57% ( -0.03) | 45.43% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.24% ( -0.03) | 67.76% ( 0.02) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.88% ( -0.02) | 17.12% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.66% ( -0.04) | 47.34% ( 0.03) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.7% ( 0) | 33.3% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.08% ( 0) | 69.92% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Austin FC |
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 52.94% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 53 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 48 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 43 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 41 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 38 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 34 |
8 | Toronto | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 30 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 28 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 27 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 27 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
13 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 26 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 25 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 23 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 49 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 47 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 44 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 41 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 38 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 37 |
7 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 37 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 36 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 33 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Dallas | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 24 |
13 | St Louis City | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 23 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 31 | 61 | -30 | 14 |