Major League Soccer

Mar 31, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
3 - 1
St Louis City

Arango (70', 70', 84' pen., 84' pen., 90+1', 90+1')
Davis (28'), Davis (28')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Vassilev (3', 3')
Markanich (30'), Markanich (30'), Parker (90+9'), Parker (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Salt Lake
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: St Louis City 2-2 DC United
Sunday, March 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	St Louis City
64.7% ( 0.12)	19.64% ( -0.05)	15.66% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 54.32% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.96% (

0.12)

40.04% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.59% (

0.12)

62.4% (

-0.12)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.34% (

0.07)

11.66% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.28% (

0.15)

36.71% (

-0.15)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49% (

-0.01)

38.51% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

-0.01)

75.25% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 64.69%

St Louis City 15.66%

Draw 19.64%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 64.69%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.64%	1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.66%