Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 2.30am
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • Dejan Joveljic 3' goal
  • Dejan Joveljic 3' goal
  • Martin Caceres 35' yellowcard
  • Martin Caceres 35' yellowcard
  • Joseph Paintsil 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Joseph Paintsil 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Joseph Paintsil 51' goal
  • Joseph Paintsil 51' goal
  • Riqui Puig 65' yellowcard
  • Riqui Puig 65' yellowcard
  • Maya Yoshida 90'+5' goal
  • Maya Yoshida 90'+5' goal
  • Martin Caceres 90'+9' redcard
  • Martin Caceres 90'+9' redcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Totland 25'
  • yellowcard Tomas Totland 25'
  • goal Tomas Ostrak 27'
  • goal Tomas Ostrak 27'
  • yellowcard Aziel Jackson 51'
  • yellowcard Aziel Jackson 51'
  • goal Joakim Nilsson 60'
  • goal Joakim Nilsson 60'
  • yellowcard Joakim Nilsson 70'
  • yellowcard Joakim Nilsson 70'
  • yellowcard Samuel Adeniran 83'
  • yellowcard Samuel Adeniran 83'
  • goal John McCarthy 88' (OG)
  • goal John McCarthy 88' (OG)

Los Angeles Galaxy vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 10, 2024 7.00pm
Nashville 2 - 2 LA Galaxy
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Gabriel Pec

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 10, 2024 1.30am
Austin 2 - 2 St Louis City
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Eduard Lowen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Los Angeles Galaxy 59.25% (+0.90)
Draw 20.51% (-0.20)
St Louis City 20.24% (-0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.65% (-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.88% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 36.13% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 41.77% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 58.24% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 23.58% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 76.43% (+0.07)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5 88.04% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 11.96% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 62.64% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 37.36% (-0.48)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 68.89% (-0.68)
Under 0.5 31.12% (+0.68)
Over 1.5 32.56% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 67.44% (+0.81)

Score analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 59.25%
Draw 20.51%
St Louis City 20.24%
Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.39% (+0.18)
1-0 @ 7.9% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.93% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 5.94% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.68% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 3.15% (+0.13)
4-2 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 59.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 3.72% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.51%
St Louis City
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 4.35% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 20.24%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2023 1.00am
2
2
HT : 0 6
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • Chris Mavinga 50' yellowcard
  • Chris Mavinga 50' yellowcard
  • Chris Mavinga 50' yellowcard
  • Riqui Puig 53' goal
  • Riqui Puig 53' goal
  • Riqui Puig 53' goal
  • Billy Sharp 82' goal
  • Billy Sharp 82' goal
  • Billy Sharp 82' goal
  • Mauricio Cuevas 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Cuevas 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Cuevas 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Cuevas 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Samuel Adeniran 4'
  • goal Samuel Adeniran 4'
  • goal Samuel Adeniran 4'
  • yellowcard Joakim Nilsson 22'
  • yellowcard Joakim Nilsson 22'
  • yellowcard Joakim Nilsson 22'
  • goal Klauss 28'
  • goal Klauss 28'
  • goal Klauss 28'
  • yellowcard Samuel Adeniran 52'
  • yellowcard Samuel Adeniran 52'
  • yellowcard Samuel Adeniran 52'
  • redcard Samuel Adeniran 60'
  • redcard Samuel Adeniran 60'
  • redcard Samuel Adeniran 60'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 82'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 82'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 82'
  • yellowcard Kyle Hiebert 85'
  • yellowcard Kyle Hiebert 85'
  • yellowcard Kyle Hiebert 85'
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 68' goal
  • goal Daniel Aguirre 85'