Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.