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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Stanford Stadium
LA Galaxy

Earthquakes
1 - 3
LA Galaxy

Judd (69')
Akapo (35'), Judd (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Paintsil (18'), Joveljic (43'), Puig (48')
Delgado (29'), Brugman (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, February 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy almost secured victory over Inter Miami last time out and this could serve as a springboard for their confidence this season. The visitors also have a good record in their recent visits to San Jose. We think there will be goals galore in the Cali Clasico but Galaxy should edge it in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
47.5% (-0.534 -0.53) 23.85% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 28.65% (0.474 0.47)
Both teams to score 58.73% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94% (0.046999999999997 0.05)43.06% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)65.46% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-0.191 -0.19)18.3% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (-0.328 -0.33)49.38% (0.33 0.33)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.35599999999999 0.36)28.12% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.449 0.45)63.79% (-0.447 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 47.5%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 28.65%
    Draw 23.84%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 28.65%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy

San Jose Earthquakes
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-3
LA Galaxy
Calegari (29' og.), Ebobisse (31')
Rodrigues (19'), Akapo (43'), Trauco (65'), Gruezo (75'), Marie (90+2')
Boyd (16'), Puig (50'), Joveljic (61' pen.)
Cerrillo (83'), Aude (90+9')
Jul 2, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-2
LA Galaxy
Skahan (42'), Espinoza (81')
Espinoza (20'), Tsakiris (57'), Yueill (90+4')
Edwards (31'), Judd (47')
Edwards (39'), Calegari (78'), Aude (90+7')
May 15, 2023 2.30am
Jul 14, 2022 3am
LA Galaxy
2-3
Earthquakes
Joveljic (48', 88')
Grandsir (33')
Espinoza (13' pen.), Ebobisse (14'), Lopez (40')
Lopez (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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