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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Stanford Stadium
LA Galaxy

Earthquakes
1 - 3
LA Galaxy

Judd (69')
Akapo (35'), Judd (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Paintsil (18'), Joveljic (43'), Puig (48')
Delgado (29'), Brugman (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, February 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy almost secured victory over Inter Miami last time out and this could serve as a springboard for their confidence this season. The visitors also have a good record in their recent visits to San Jose. We think there will be goals galore in the Cali Clasico but Galaxy should edge it in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
47.5% (-0.534 -0.53) 23.85% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 28.65% (0.474 0.47)
Both teams to score 58.73% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94% (0.046999999999997 0.05)43.06% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)65.46% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-0.191 -0.19)18.3% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (-0.328 -0.33)49.38% (0.33 0.33)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.35599999999999 0.36)28.12% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.449 0.45)63.79% (-0.447 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 47.5%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 28.65%
    Draw 23.84%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 28.65%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy

San Jose Earthquakes
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-3
LA Galaxy
Calegari (29' og.), Ebobisse (31')
Rodrigues (19'), Akapo (43'), Trauco (65'), Gruezo (75'), Marie (90+2')
Boyd (16'), Puig (50'), Joveljic (61' pen.)
Cerrillo (83'), Aude (90+9')
Jul 2, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-2
LA Galaxy
Skahan (42'), Espinoza (81')
Espinoza (20'), Tsakiris (57'), Yueill (90+4')
Edwards (31'), Judd (47')
Edwards (39'), Calegari (78'), Aude (90+7')
May 15, 2023 2.30am
Jul 14, 2022 3am
LA Galaxy
2-3
Earthquakes
Joveljic (48', 88')
Grandsir (33')
Espinoza (13' pen.), Ebobisse (14'), Lopez (40')
Lopez (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322115618
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls8431117415
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
5Columbus Crew9342119213
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
9New York City FCNY City932489-111
10CF MontrealMontreal83231115-411
11DC United92431213-110
12Chicago Fire92341115-49
13Orlando City8233914-59
14Nashville SCNashville8143915-67
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432128415
3Houston DynamoHouston842297214
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7412159613
5Sporting Kansas CityKansas93421513213
6Portland TimbersPortland93331817112
7Colorado RapidsColorado83321312112
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles83231312111
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
10St Louis City92521212011
11Austin FCAustin92431113-210
12Seattle SoundersSeattle71339726
13Dallas7124610-45
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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