Major League Soccer

Mar 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Stanford Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 3
LA Galaxy

Judd (69', 69')
Akapo (35'), Akapo (35'), Judd (74'), Judd (74')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Paintsil (18', 18'), Joveljic (43', 43'), Puig (48', 48')
Delgado (29'), Delgado (29'), Brugman (90+3'), Brugman (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, February 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
47.5% ( -0.53)	23.85% ( 0.06)	28.65% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 58.73% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.94% (

0.05)

43.06% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.54% (

0.05)

65.46% (

-0.05)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.7% (

-0.19)

18.3% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.62% (

-0.33)

49.38% (

0.33)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

0.36)

28.12% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.21% (

0.45)

63.79% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 47.5%

Los Angeles Galaxy 28.65%

Draw 23.84%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 47.5%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.84%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.65%