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Atlanta United
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FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
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Inter Miami
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LA Galaxy
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New York City
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Orlando City
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San Jose Earthquakes
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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Dallas
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Illarramendi (25'), Sealy (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kikanovic (6')
Gruezo (21'), Rodrigues (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Inter Miami
Monday, January 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Kansas 0-0 Earthquakes (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, October 26 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

In an opening match of the season which could be quite cagey, Dallas having home-field advantage could make all the difference on Saturday night. The Toros will be raring to unleash record-signing Musa on MLS, and we reckon that the Portuguese attacker will have a winning start to life in North America. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dallas.

Result
DallasDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
42.04% (0.435 0.44) 26.33% (0.136 0.14) 31.62% (-0.569 -0.57)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (-0.728 -0.73)52.42% (0.73 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (-0.629 -0.63)74.1% (0.631 0.63)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.102 -0.1)24.67% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.145 -0.15)59.2% (0.148 0.15)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.752 -0.75)30.8% (0.753 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.896 -0.9)67.08% (0.898 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 42.03%
    San Jose Earthquakes 31.62%
    Draw 26.33%
DallasDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 31.62%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
May 28, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-1
Dallas
Kikanovic (70')
Yueill (25'), Marie (49'), Gruezo (90+9'), Judson (90')
Judson (90+10')
Burgess (90+4')
Farfan (69'), Burgess (90')
Sep 18, 2022 3.30am
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 44
Earthquakes
1-1
Dallas
Wondolowski (34')
Beason (28'), Vega (38')
Obrian (42')
Cerrillo (52'), Pomykal (56'), Schon (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
9New York City FCNY City932499011
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Houston DynamoHouston841398113
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
7St Louis City92611514112
8Austin FCAustin93331213-112
9Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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