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Atlanta United
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FC Dallas
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New York City
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Orlando City
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San Jose Earthquakes
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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Dallas
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Illarramendi (25'), Sealy (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kikanovic (6')
Gruezo (21'), Rodrigues (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Inter Miami
Monday, January 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Kansas 0-0 Earthquakes (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, October 26 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

In an opening match of the season which could be quite cagey, Dallas having home-field advantage could make all the difference on Saturday night. The Toros will be raring to unleash record-signing Musa on MLS, and we reckon that the Portuguese attacker will have a winning start to life in North America. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dallas.

Result
DallasDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
42.04% (0.435 0.44) 26.33% (0.136 0.14) 31.62% (-0.569 -0.57)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (-0.728 -0.73)52.42% (0.73 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (-0.629 -0.63)74.1% (0.631 0.63)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.102 -0.1)24.67% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.145 -0.15)59.2% (0.148 0.15)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.752 -0.75)30.8% (0.753 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.896 -0.9)67.08% (0.898 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 42.03%
    San Jose Earthquakes 31.62%
    Draw 26.33%
DallasDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 31.62%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
May 28, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-1
Dallas
Kikanovic (70')
Yueill (25'), Marie (49'), Gruezo (90+9'), Judson (90')
Judson (90+10')
Burgess (90+4')
Farfan (69'), Burgess (90')
Sep 18, 2022 3.30am
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 44
Earthquakes
1-1
Dallas
Wondolowski (34')
Beason (28'), Vega (38')
Obrian (42')
Cerrillo (52'), Pomykal (56'), Schon (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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