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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Nov 5, 2023 at 1am UK
Toyota Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Dallas
3 - 1
Seattle

Arriola (6', 6'), Ferreira (18' pen., 18' pen.), Obrian (89', 89')
Arriola (30'), Arriola (30'), Pomykal (60'), Pomykal (60'), Illarramendi (71'), Illarramendi (72')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Morris (48', 48')
Tolo (10'), Tolo (10'), Gomez Andrade (21'), Gomez Andrade (21'), Atencio (52'), Atencio (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Dallas
Tuesday, October 31 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Dallas
Tuesday, October 31 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawSeattle Sounders
43.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.9% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)30.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.08% (0.012 0.01)50.92% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21% (0.012 0.01)72.79% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.38%
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (0.016999999999996 0.02)30.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.017999999999994 0.02)66.83% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 43.27%
    Seattle Sounders 30.82%
    Draw 25.89%
DallasDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2%
Total : 43.27%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.48%
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.82%

How you voted: Dallas vs Seattle

Dallas
40.0%
Draw
6.7%
Seattle Sounders
53.3%
15
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 1am
Seattle
2-0
Dallas
Rusnak (43' pen.), Morris (74')
Ragen (52')

Ferreira (45+3'), Burgess (81')
Sep 17, 2023 1.30am
Jul 16, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
1-1
Dallas
Junqua (32' og.)
Rusnak (87')
Kamungo (42')
Jesus (44'), Lletget (47'), Ntsabeleng (82'), Quignon (86')
Aug 3, 2022 3am
May 8, 2022 1.30am