Major League Soccer
Austin
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
4
3
HT : 0 2
FT Bold Stadium
Earthquakes
  • Jon Gallagher 29' yellowcard
  • Jon Gallagher 29' yellowcard
  • Jader Obrian 40' yellowcard
  • Jader Obrian 40' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 61' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 61' goal
  • Jader Obrian 63' goal
  • Jader Obrian 63' goal
  • Guilherme Biro 67' goal
  • Guilherme Biro 67' goal
  • Brad Stuver 88' yellowcard
  • Brad Stuver 88' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 90'+11' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 90'+11' goal
  • yellowcard Tanner Beason 10'
  • yellowcard Tanner Beason 10'
  • yellowcard Luchi Gonzalez 11'
  • yellowcard Luchi Gonzalez 11'
  • goal Paul Marie 20'
  • goal Paul Marie 20'
  • yellowcard Carlos Akapo 34'
  • yellowcard Carlos Akapo 34'
  • yellowcard Paul Marie 40'
  • yellowcard Paul Marie 40'
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 57'
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 57'
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 74'
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 74'

Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
Austin 2 - 1 Dallas
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Sebastian Driussi

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
Houston 2 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Amahl Pellegrino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result

Austin FC 49.96% ▲ (+0.50)
Draw 24.56% ▲ (+0.01)
San Jose Earthquakes 25.48% ▼ (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.68% ▼ (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.5% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 2.5 48.5% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 3.5 29.37% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 3.5 70.63% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 4.5 14.24% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 4.5 85.76% ▲ (+0.27)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 80.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 19.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 48.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 51.27% ▼ (-0.06)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 66.63% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 0.5 33.38% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 1.5 30% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 1.5 70% ▲ (+0.71)

Score analysis

Austin FC 49.96%
Draw 24.56%
San Jose Earthquakes 25.48%
Austin FC
1-0 @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.19)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 49.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.56%
San Jose Earthquakes
0-1 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 25.48%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Earthquakes
Oct 22, 2023 2.00am
1
1
HT : 2 3
FT Avaya Stadium
Austin
  • Cristian Espinoza 17' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 17' goal
  • Niko Tsakiris 22' yellowcard
  • Niko Tsakiris 22' yellowcard
  • Cristian Espinoza 72' yellowcard
  • Cristian Espinoza 72' yellowcard
  • Cristian Espinoza 72' yellowcard
  • goal Owen Wolff 32'
  • goal Owen Wolff 32'
  • goal Owen Wolff 32'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Valencia 66'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Valencia 66'
Major League Soccer
Austin
Apr 30, 2023 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Bold Stadium
Earthquakes
  • Emiliano Rigoni 40' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 78' goal
  • goal Jackson Yueill 21'
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 75'
Major League Soccer
Austin
Aug 7, 2022 2.00am
3
3
HT : 3 2
FT
Earthquakes
  • Julio Cascante 6' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 23' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 26' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 44' goal
  • Brad Stuver 60' yellowcard
  • goal Benji Kikanovic 8'
  • goal Paul Marie 20'
  • yellowcard Tanner Beason 39'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 84'
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 88'
Major League Soccer
Earthquakes
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Austin
  • Paul Marie 31' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 70' goal
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 71' goal
  • Cade Cowell 72' goal
  • Francisco Calvo 79' yellowcard
  • Ousseni Bouda 85' yellowcard
  • Ousseni Bouda 86' yellowcard
  • goal Maximiliano Urruti 11'
  • yellowcard Diego Fagundez 42'
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 52'
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 53'
  • yellowcard Daniel Pereira 72'
  • yellowcard Rodney Redes 77'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Earthquakes
Oct 21, 2021 3.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Austin
  • Nathan Cardoso 25' yellowcard
  • Javier Lopez 47' goal
  • Benji Kikanovic 53' goal
  • Benji Kikanovic 54' goal
  • Chris Wondolowski 59' goal
  • Chris Wondolowski 60' goal
  • Marcos Lopez 81' yellowcard
  • Carlos Fierro 85' goal
  • Carlos Fierro 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jhohan Romana 39'
  • yellowcard Alexander Ring 45'+1'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 34
Austin
Sep 19, 2021 1.00am
3
4
HT : 3 1
FT
Earthquakes
  • Daniel Pereira 4' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 6' goal
  • Jon Gallagher 35' goal
  • Alexander Ring 45' goal
  • Alexander Ring 58' yellowcard
  • Brad Stuver 60' yellowcard
  • Alexander Ring 65' redcard
  • Julio Cascante 69' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Lopez 17'
  • goal Cristian Espinoza 49'
  • goal Javier Lopez 58'
  • yellowcard Cristian Espinoza 61'
  • goal Javier Lopez 63'
  • yellowcard Paul Marie 72'
  • yellowcard Eric Remedi 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Andres Rios 90'+6'

Form Data

Austin 2 - 1 Dallas
Orlando City 2 - 0 Austin
Austin 2 - 2 Philadelphia
Austin 2 - 2 St Louis City
Seattle 0 - 0 Austin
Austin 1 - 2 Minnesota Utd
Houston 2 - 1 Earthquakes
Earthquakes 3 - 2 Seattle
Kansas 2 - 1 Earthquakes
Earthquakes 0 - 2 Vancouver
Earthquakes 1 - 3 LA Galaxy
Dallas 2 - 1 Earthquakes