Major League Soccer

Feb 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
1 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Biro (90+4', 90+4')
Valencia (70'), Valencia (70'), Rubio (84'), Rubio (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lod (34', 34'), Bran (90', 90')
Rosales (56'), Rosales (56'), Clark (82'), Clark (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 3-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Minnesota United
45.63% ( 0.35)	24.1% ( -0.03)	30.27% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 58.9% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.7% (

-0)

43.3% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.31% (

-0.01)

65.69% (

0.01)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.84% (

0.15)

19.16% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.19% (

0.24)

50.81% (

-0.24)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86% (

-0.21)

27.14% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.46% (

-0.27)

62.54% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 45.63%

Minnesota United 30.27%

Draw 24.1%

Austin FC	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 45.63%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.27%