Major League Soccer

Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Rosero (18', 18'), Pulido (29', 29')
Rosero (35'), Rosero (35'), Salloi (82'), Salloi (82'), Thommy (90+1'), Thommy (90+1')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Costa (11', 11')
Bouda (66'), Bouda (67'), Espinoza (80'), Espinoza (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, March 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 0-2 Vancouver
Sunday, March 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
53.06% ( -0.57)	23.77% ( 0.13)	23.17% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 53.69% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.72% (

-0.08)

47.27% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

-0.08)

69.5% (

0.07)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23% (

-0.24)

17.76% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.54% (

-0.42)

48.46% (

0.42)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.29% (

0.36)

34.7% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.56% (

0.38)

71.43% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 53.06%

San Jose Earthquakes 23.17%

Draw 23.77%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 53.06%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.77%	0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.17%