Major League Soccer

Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
1 - 1
Philadelphia

Walter (19', 19')
Russell (90+3'), Russell (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bedoya (90+5', 90+5')
Bedoya (48'), Bedoya (48'), Lowe (58'), Lowe (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 1-1 Kansas
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-3 Deportivo Saprissa
Wednesday, February 28 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
44.45% ( -0.23)	24.75% ( 0.11)	30.81% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03% (

-0.42)

45.97% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72% (

-0.4)

68.28% (

0.4)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25% (

-0.27)

20.75% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.61% (

-0.43)

53.39% (

0.43)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

-0.13)

28.13% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2% (

-0.16)

63.8% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 44.45%

Philadelphia Union 30.81%

Draw 24.74%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 44.45%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.81%