Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 81' goal
  • Sebastian Ferreira 81' goal
  • Franco Escobar 84' goal
  • Franco Escobar 85' goal
  • Sebastian Ferreira 87' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 88' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Wilson 1'
  • goal Bruno Wilson 1'
  • yellowcard Paul Marie 9'
  • yellowcard Paul Marie 9'
  • redcard Preston Judd 34'
  • redcard Preston Judd 34'
  • yellowcard Carlos Akapo 76'
  • yellowcard Carlos Akapo 76'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 86'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 87'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 90'+5'
  • redcard Jackson Yueill 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 90'+5'
  • redcard Jackson Yueill 90'+5'

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 24, 2024 1.30am
Colorado 0 - 1 Houston
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Aliyu Ibrahim

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 24, 2024 2.30am
Earthquakes 3 - 2 Seattle
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Amahl Pellegrino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.

Result

Houston Dynamo 52.29% (+0.17)
Draw 24.45% (-0.06)
San Jose Earthquakes 23.25% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.64% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.96% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 50.03% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 27.99% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 72.01% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.3% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 86.69% (-0.07)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 80.89% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 19.1% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 49.27% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 50.72% (-0.18)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 63.84% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.16% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 27.06% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.94% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Houston Dynamo 52.29%
Draw 24.45%
San Jose Earthquakes 23.25%
Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.43% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.46% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.31% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.22% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.7% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.16% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 52.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 24.45%
San Jose Earthquakes
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 23.25%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
4
1
HT : 4 2
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Amine Bassi 3' goal
  • Amine Bassi 3' goal
  • Corey Baird 5' goal
  • Corey Baird 5' goal
  • Thorleifur Ulfarsson 78' goal
  • Thorleifur Ulfarsson 90' goal
  • goal Carlos Akapo 41'
  • goal Carlos Akapo 41'
Major League Soccer
Apr 2, 2023 3.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Avaya Stadium
  • Cristian Espinoza 7' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 65' goal
  • goal Amine Bassi 42'
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2022 2.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jamiro Monteiro 45' yellowcard
  • Jackson Yueill 53' goal
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 28'
  • yellowcard Matias Vera 43'
  • goal Sebastian Ferreira 71'
  • goal Thorleifur Ulfarsson 76'
  • yellowcard Fabrice Picault 90'
Major League Soccer
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Sebastian Ferreira 8' goal
  • Darwin Quintero 18' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 27' yellowcard
  • Darwin Quintero 43' goal
  • Teenage Hadebe 57' goal
  • Teenage Hadebe 58' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Picault 63' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 68' goal
  • Darwin Ceren 89' yellowcard
  • Ethan Bartlow 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Marie 20'
  • yellowcard Marcos Lopez 22'
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 25'
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 28'
  • goal Tommy Thompson 77'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 90'+1'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 18
Jul 25, 2021 3.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Zarek Valentin 45'+5' goal
  • Nathan Cardoso 70' yellowcard
  • Carlos Fierro 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Matias Vera 40'
  • yellowcard Fabrice Picault 53'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 57'
  • yellowcard Matias Vera 68'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Urruti 90'+8'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 1
Apr 17, 2021 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT BBVA Stadium
  • Fabrice Picault 29' yellowcard
  • Memo Rodriguez 39' goal
  • Matias Vera 41' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Urruti 56' goal
  • Derrick Jones 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javier Lopez 51'
  • yellowcard Eric Remedi 52'
  • goal Paul Marie 74'
  • yellowcard Andres Rios 87'