Major League Soccer

Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Rubio (56', 56'), Gallagher (58', 58')
Wolff (34'), Wolff (34'), Biro (45+5'), Biro (45+6'), Rubio (56'), Rubio (58'), Cascante (67'), Cascante (67')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gazdag (13' pen., 14' pen.), Uhre (65', 65')
Sullivan (33'), Sullivan (33'), Carranza (45+5'), Carranza (45+5'), Andres Martinez (62'), Andres Martinez (62'), Elliott (70'), Elliott (70'), Gazdag (81'), Gazdag (81'), Lowe (87'), Lowe (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 2-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Pachuca 6-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
45.47% ( -1.41)	24.96% ( 0.64)	29.57% ( 0.78)

Both teams to score 55.55% (

-1.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.48% (

-2.38)

47.52% (

2.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.28% (

-2.24)

69.72% (

2.25)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

-1.57)

20.94% (

1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

-2.51)

53.68% (

2.52)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

-0.66)

29.74% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.19% (

-0.81)

65.81% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 45.47%

Philadelphia Union 29.57%

Draw 24.96%

Austin FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.47%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.27% Total : 29.57%