CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Hidalgo
Philadelphia Union

Pachuca
6 - 0
Philadelphia

Rondon (7' pen., 7' pen., 45+6', 45+6', 53', 53'), Deossa (57', 57'), Idrissi (63', 63'), Bautista (85', 85')
Pedraza (24'), Pedraza (24'), Sanchez (76'), Sanchez (76')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Lowe (74'), Lowe (74')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Pachuca and Philadelphia Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawPhiladelphia Union
47.07% (-1.073 -1.07)24.28% (0.144 0.14)28.65% (0.929 0.93)
Both teams to score 57.21% (0.204 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.95% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)45.05% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.6% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)67.4% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-0.45299999999999 -0.45)19.26% (0.453 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (-0.753 -0.75)50.98% (0.752 0.75)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (0.649 0.65)29.14% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (0.79199999999999 0.79)65.07% (-0.792 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 47.07%
    Philadelphia Union 28.65%
    Draw 24.28%
PachucaDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.163 0.16)
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 28.65%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 12am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Philadelphia
0-0
Pachuca
Mbaizo (61')
Cabral (47')