Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.