Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.