Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 45.49% ( | 24.8% ( | 29.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% ( | 46.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.02% ( | 68.98% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( | 20.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.86% ( | 53.14% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( | 29.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( | 65.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.71% |