Major League Soccer

Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
2 - 3
Minnesota Utd

McGuire (1', 1', 83', 83')
Felipe (34'), Felipe (34')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Pukki (4', 4', 38', 38'), Hlongwane (90+5', 90+5')
Trapp (32'), Trapp (32'), Boxall (43'), Boxall (43'), Taylor (70'), Taylor (70'), Arriaga (79'), Arriaga (79'), Hlongwane (90+6'), St Clair (90+2'), Hlongwane (90+6'), St Clair (90+2')
Rosales (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Tigres
Wednesday, March 6 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Columbus Crew
Saturday, March 2 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Minnesota United
56.4% ( -0.05)	22.16% ( 0.01)	21.43% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 56.69% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.81% (

0.02)

42.19% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.41% (

0.03)

64.59% (

-0.03)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.21% (

-0.01)

14.79% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.94% (

-0.01)

43.06% (

0.01)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

0.05)

33.47% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9% (

0.05)

70.1% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 56.4%

Minnesota United 21.43%

Draw 22.16%

Orlando City	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.4%	1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.16%	1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 21.43%