Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Mar 10, 2024 12.30am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Exploria Stadium
Minnesota Utd
  • Duncan McGuire 1' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 1' goal
  • Felipe 34' yellowcard
  • Felipe 34' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 83' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 83' goal
  • Wilder Cartagena 90'+11' redcard
  • goal Teemu Pukki 4'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 4'
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 32'
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 32'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 38'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 38'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 43'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 43'
  • yellowcard DJ Taylor 70'
  • yellowcard DJ Taylor 70'
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 79'
  • yellowcard Kervin Arriaga 79'
  • yellowcard Dayne St Clair 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Dayne St Clair 90'+2'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 90'+5'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Bongokuhle Hlongwane 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Bongokuhle Hlongwane 90'+6'
  • redcard Joseph Rosales 90'+11'

Orlando City vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 9.30pm
Inter Miami 5 - 0 Orlando City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Facundo Torres

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 7.00pm
Minnesota Utd 1 - 1 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Bongokuhle Hlongwane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Orlando City 56.4% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 22.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Minnesota United 21.43% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.69% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 42.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 35.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 64.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.43% ▼ (-0.03)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 85.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 14.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 56.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 43.06% ▲ (+0.01)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 66.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 33.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 29.9% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 70.1% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Orlando City 56.4%
Draw 22.16%
Minnesota United 21.43%
Orlando City
2-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 56.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.16%
Minnesota United
1-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.42%
0-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 21.43%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Minnesota Utd
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Field
Orlando City
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 58' goal
  • goal Ivan Angulo 66'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 88'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Aug 7, 2020 1.00am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
Minnesota Utd
  • Nani 36' goal
  • Nani 42' goal
  • Benji Michel 90'+6' goal
  • goal Mason Toye 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 15
Orlando City
May 10, 2020 12.30am
Minnesota Utd
Major League Soccer Gameweek 32
Minnesota Utd
Aug 18, 2019 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
Orlando City
  • Jan Gregus 32' yellowcard
  • Chase Gasper 63' yellowcard
  • Ike Opara 70' yellowcard
  • Abu Danladi 92' goal
  • yellowcard Dom Dwyer 57'
  • goal Nani 70'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 3
Orlando City
Mar 11, 2018 12.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Orlando City Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
Minnesota Utd
  • Yoshimar Yotun 42' goal
  • Richie Laryea 56' yellowcard
  • goal Ethan Finlay 12'
  • goal Ethan Finlay 79'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Schuller 88'
  • yellowcard Mason Toye 94'
Major League Soccer
Minnesota Utd
May 28, 2017 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Orlando City
  • Johan Venegas 38' yellowcard
  • Christian Ramirez 56' goal
  • Sam Cronin 66' yellowcard
  • Ismaila Jome 76' yellowcard
  • Marc Burch 81' yellowcard
  • Miguel Ibarra 91' yellowcard

Form Data

Orlando City 0 - 0 Tigres
Inter Miami 5 - 0 Orlando City
Orlando City 3 - 1 Cavalry
Orlando City 0 - 0 Montreal
Cavalry 0 - 3 Orlando City
Orlando City 0 - 2 Columbus Crew
Minnesota Utd 1 - 1 Columbus Crew
Austin 1 - 2 Minnesota Utd
Kansas 3 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Minnesota Utd 5 - 2 LA Galaxy
Los Angeles 5 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Minnesota Utd 1 - 1 Earthquakes