Major League Soccer

Mar 30, 2024 at 6pm UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
2 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Gazdag (16'), Carranza (84')
Andres Martinez (64'), Harriel (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dotson (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Portland 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Minnesota United
54.94% ( -1.19)	22.19% ( 0.5)	22.88% ( 0.7)

Both teams to score 58.64% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45% (

-1.5)

40.56% (

1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07% (

-1.56)

62.94% (

1.57)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.29% (

-0.88)

14.71% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.1% (

-1.73)

42.9% (

1.74)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.75% (

-0.23)

31.26% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.4% (

-0.27)

67.6% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 54.94%

Minnesota United 22.88%

Draw 22.18%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.94%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.18%	1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.73% Total : 22.88%